Scenario 1: Biden Wins Decisively
A clear victory for Biden, with a margin of over 5% in the popular vote and electoral college. This scenario would likely result in a Democratic-controlled Senate and House, giving Biden a strong mandate for his agenda.
Scenario 2: Trump Wins Narrowly
A close victory for Trump, with less than a 5% margin. This would likely lead to a contested election, with legal challenges and potential recounts. The outcome could be uncertain for days or even weeks.
Scenario 3: Electoral College Tie
An unlikely but possible scenario where neither candidate wins a majority of electoral votes. The House would then choose the President, with each state having one vote. This could result in a surprise victory for a third-party candidate.
Scenario 4: A Hung Election
A highly contested election with no clear winner. The Supreme Court could potentially intervene to decide the outcome. This scenario could lead to political gridlock and instability.