This Election, It May Actually Come Down to Turnout
As Election Day approaches, pundits and analysts are closely watching voter turnout trends. Historically, high turnout rates favor Democrats, while low turnout rates favor Republicans. This trend is reflected in recent polls, which show Democrats leading among likely voters but Republicans leading among registered voters.
The importance of turnout was underscored by the 2016 election, in which Donald Trump won the Electoral College despite losing the popular vote. Trump’s victory was largely attributed to his success in driving up turnout among his base of white, working-class voters in key swing states.
This year, Democrats are hoping to replicate Trump’s strategy by boosting turnout among African Americans, Latinos, and young voters. Republicans, on the other hand, are focused on mobilizing their base of white, rural voters.